13th February betting tips and preview

Southwell

2.00 6f Class 6 Handicap – Liamba

Canimar ran his biggest race LTO for Shaun Keightley, he ran in the first time visor and looked to have the race in the bag some way out but probably went for home too early and was taken well inside the final furlong, the once rated 73 filly is a 14 race maiden but now runs off 46 and looks dangerous but the step down to 6f may not be best decision IMO and so LIamba the only other filly in the race who is more of a natural at 6f, she ran a big 3rd over this C&D 2 starts back, the form of the race is solid with 2 in behind winning a few since. She’s 3lb better off in this race and the yard are in fine form.

Fairyhouse

3.35 2m7f 0-109 Handicap Chase – Cowboy Des Long

Kayf Thou won over this course on his 4th start over fences to break his maiden tag, he’s one of the least exposed in the field, he’s well bred and from a huge yard, so likely to have a good career and will be better than his current mark suggests, however he looks like he needs a little more time, he looked like he needed every yard of his trip LTO and even if just a furlong and a half shorter here, it won’t be ideal, plus he’ll be off 8lbs higher in a tougher looking race. Cowboy Des Long is still a 8 race maiden over fences, but has been knocking on the door and getting better with every run, on his penultimate race he was a unlucky close 2nd when his jockey dropped his whip in the finish he finished in front of Crazyheart who won a good novice event NTO boosting that piece of form and then his next race he was a good 3rd and not far behind Young Paddymac who finished 2nd but bolted up NTO in a good chase at Punchestown NTO, for me Cowboy’s form looks the strongest and this is his first try in handicap company, which should suit more.

Musselburgh

3.50 2m Class 4 Maiden Hurdle – Saryshagann

Another David O’Meara horse, this time over hurdles, the fairly useful flat horse has 5 wins to his name on the flat, he made his debut over hurdles under 3 weeks ago where he understandably wanted to go quicker than he was allowed to, he wasn’t too fluent over his hurdles and looked well beat with half a mile left but impressed lots in the finish after all he did wrong, he clearly has ability and can be forgiven on his first start over timber, this right handed Musselburgh track will be the biggest plus and he should of learnt a lot from his last run.

Kempton

6.45 1m Class 5 Handicap – Sir Ox

Rich Approach came from last to first LTO to which pleased a lot of supporters after being very well backed, he goes up 7lb for that victory and tackles a furlong longer which looks to suit, I am however sceptical he’ll take to Kempton, he looks like he takes a long time to wind up and Kempton is much tougher to do that than Newcastle’s straight track. Sir Ox who we know likes the C&D after winning well here last week, he looked to have loads left in the locker when completing a double and this 6lb penalty doesn’t look near enough to stop him and record a quick hat trick.

Brought to you by Russell Blair Racing

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