7th June betting tips and preview

Brighton

4.05 1m4f Class 5 Handicap – Tamachan 4/1

Like all Oppenheimer horses, is very well bred, she’s a daughter of Camelot (rated as high as 126), out of a un raced Duke Of Marmalade (130) dam, all breeding screaming out for this 1m4f distance, she showed a bit of ability when 4th on her 2nd run at Newbury over 1m2f, she was under 5 lengths behind the 2nd Sneaky Peek who’s since won and now rated 78 and the winner Katiesheidinlisa won her next race off 80 and now rated 86, which gives Tamachan a rating of 73 for that effort, the handicapped however has accessed her a mark of 70 after a poor effort followed when clearly outpaced. Now in handicap company for the first time off a ridiculous mark on breeding and looking well handicapped on ability that is more likely to taken advantage of now upped to her optimum looking trip. Also very interesting that it’s very rare to see Roger Charlton send his chances down to Brighton, he’s only been there 5 times in the last 5 years and has come back with 4 winners, 80% strike rate with a neat +£9.85 LSP, an even better career +£44.21 LSP at the course, he sends just the one there today and books Jason Watson once again who knows the filly well plus rides Brighton very well with a 24% strike rate and £5.91 LSP.

Haydock

6.55 6f Class 5 Handicap – Shortbackandsides 9/1

He won a good Class 4 race in August on just his 3rd attempt for his new trainer Tim Easterby off today’s mark of 63 on good to soft ground, he since came very close to adding to his tally off 66 both with real eye catching late powerful finishes hinting his still well handicapped. 3 below par runs since on good ground which isn’t ideal and after a long break in between has seen his mark drop below his last winning mark making him look very well in against a weak exposed field, but the key is the soft ground back to a undulating course that see’s his best. Jockey Duran Fentiman is in very good form and currently rocking a +£51.36 LSP this season.

Goodwood

7.05 6f Class 5 Handicap – Big Lachie 11/2

Last win came was in September in a good class 3 race at Doncaster off a mark of 75, he went up to 79 after and has once struggled in his 6 losses since but 3 of them came on what looks a unsuitable sharp 5f for him now, but as a result the handicapper has quickly dropped him 8lb to a mark of 71, 4lbs under last winning mark and although yet the run at Goodwood before, the course characteristic will clearly suit and bring out his best and is significant that trainer never travels to Goodwood and sends just the one there today. The majority of the pace is also drawn in the higher numbers and looks the place to be.

Russell Blair Racing

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *