In yesterdays post over in Dubai we picked 3 winners at 11/4, 7/2 & 12/1 sp. We return to action much closer to us and 4 with good chances. Below are today’s tip and betting previews.
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Wetherby 1.15 Mares Handicap Hurdle, 3m Class 4 – Carrolls Milan 9/4
Fergal O’Brien has a great record at Wetherby with 7 winners from 24 the last 5 years (29%), a very healthy +£26.43 LSP, an even better 36% strike rate over hurdles with 4 from 11. He teams up with his usual partner Paddy Brennan who have a great partnership when together and have a remarkable +£131.94 LSP over the last 5 years. Paddy Brennan also shows a liking to Wetherby especially over hurdles with 6 wins from 11 (55%). Not just a combination that you can back blind but their mare Carrolls Milan whose still a maiden has been progressing very well over hurdles and her recent 2nd in her first handicap race holds strong form, she was sandwiched between 2 subsequent winners and the winner further franked the form when completing a hat trick NTO. That was over 2m5f, now not only on breeding but the way she goes through her races, this step up to 3 miles should see further improvement.
Kempton 2.45 Handicap, 1m Class 5 – Martineo 9/2
A very well bred 4yo for this class, very lightly raced with just 7 runs to his name and just the 4 in handicap company. He’s a winner on synthetics already before moving to John Butlers yard, although not doing particularly well on results, he’s been questionably ridden and finished better than the bare result shows, including his last race over a sharp 7f, the step back up in trip and slightly easier 0-70 race, will see an improvement. He’s recently moved to Paul D’Arcy yard and bang inform Adam Kirby has been recalled, which is significant because not only is Kirby on his usual list of used jockeys, but when they do team up, they have a good relationship over the last 5 years. Even from a wide draw, expect this horse to be more prominently ridden tomorrow and if they go for it, the colt should look very well handicapped.
Kempton 3.50 Handicap, 1m Class 3 – Family Fortunes 7/2
Won over C&D in November in a race not run to suit, he was then unlucky not win NTO with plenty not going his way, the form of the race is solid, with the 3rd Thechildren’strust looked like he would of won NTO if breaking better and Juanito Chico back in 7th won NTO. Family Fortunes again ran a very eye catching race when again 2nd and not having a lot go right, he probably wouldn’t of won this time with the winner Matterhorn looking very handicapped which was franked NTO when he won again from a 6lb penalty, but again showed Family Fortunes to be still well handicapped and ready to win soon. The yard have booked a professional jockey in Liam Keniry to try and avoid more potential in running problems.
Kempton 4.20 Conditions, 6f Class 2 – Deep Intrigue 11/4
His penultimate run and win holds strong form when beating Vange who went on to win a good maiden before running a huge 4th in the Group 2 Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot, Deep Intrigue also ahead of Quiet Endeavour back in 5th who since went on a 4 win streak and rated in the 100’s, the 3rd and 4th also had their photo taken in the meantime. Deep Intrigue returned after a break to beat a small field and upset favourite backers when beating very highly thought of Top Breeze on his first run at 6f also his first on artificial ground. While this is tougher, but with main danger Sunsprite taken out of the race he should be better than these on form.
