11th July betting tips and preview

A nice treble on the blog yesterday, be nice to hit another today.


1.50 1m5f Group 3 Bahrain Trophy – Eagles By Day 9/4

A great pedigree, the dams sire Golan won the Guineas at Newmarket and placed behind Galileo in both the English and Irish Derby’s, Eagles dam Missunited was very smart herself with 11 wins to her name, which included a Group 3 win and was runner up in Royal Ascot’s Group 1 Gold Cup showing plenty of stamina, also Eagles superstar sire Sea the Stars won the Guineas at Newmarket before winning both the Derby’s and also adding the Arc to his prestigious list of 7 Group 1 victories and unbeaten 3yo career. Eagles By Day latest run when 3rd in the King Edward at Royal Ascot is easily the strongest piece of form and put behind him his tame effort in the Lingfield Derby trial on soft ground, clearly liking the sounder surface he stayed on one of the strongest in the race and on that evidence will love this step up in trip on faster ground in a weaker race looks a very tough but to crack. Trainer Michael Bell is having a good season and is in great current form, he books Daniel Tudhope who knows the colt well and is is also in great current form with 19 winners the last fortnight (28% strike rate).

2.25 6f July Stakes Group 2 – Visinari 1/1

Visinari looked like a 3yo not just in stature but when highly impressive on his debut over C&D beating a race experienced short priced fav Ottoman Court by over 3 lengths practically on the bridle with the rest of the field 15+ lengths back, the form of the race has also worked out very well. Visinari sire Dark Angel won the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes over the Newmarket Rowley 6 furlongs at 2 and his son looks more of a monster and even more forward, a very exciting future looks to lay ahead for trainer Mark Johnstone’s colt who also is having a great season, his best so far to date and hit 27 winners the last fortnight with a sweet 26% strike rate, he has a good record at Newmarket and significantly books Frankie Dettori who not only does he not rely on the talented jockeys services often but Frankie is simply riding out of his skin at present, he had a breathtaking Royal Ascot and carried on his form with a awesome 50% strike rate the last 2 weeks hitting doubles and trebles and is the guy you simply want to be on at present.


3.55 5f Class 5 Handicap – Celsius 6/4

Improved tons for the gelding operation over the winter and has won his last 2 from 3 with his loss coming after handing badly and coming a close 2nd, his last win was last week in a class 4 at Haydock, plenty went wrong, he was awkward out of the stalls and was keen and green, he hit in running troubles twice but still powered away and won easily in the end, clearly very ahead of the handicapper at present. He obviously has plenty of chinks thou and not one to fully rely upon, but still learning his craft and if his learnt a little from his last race he should be far too good for these carrying a 6lb penalty down in grade.

Russell Blair

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