2.15 7f Class 5 Handicap – Valley Of Fire 3/1
Not many miles on the clock for this 7yo, but this once rated 96 horse as a 4yo hasn’t been at that level for a long time, but did have a near 2 year break and as a result he’s on a very dangerous mark. The gelding made an encouraging return to form on turf under today’s jockey when last seen over this C&D in a much tougher 0-85 race with the cheek pieces returning after a long absence. He returns today 2lb better off in a much weaker 0-70 race for the first time in his career off his lowest mark to date, his 16lbs under last winning mark which he recorded in cheek pieces which are retained again. David Allen is a significant booking, he’s only ridden the gelding twice, the first time when winning his first handicap on his back and then when last seen when the gelding returned to form, so he obviously gets on well and brings out his best.
3.35 1m Group 2 – Beat The Bank 11/4
Addeybb possibly just held the strongest 2018 form over these but with the underfoot conditions against I’m siding with 2nd strongest form Beat The Bank who already has 3 Group 2’s to his name, along with a Group 3 and a listed race, he won the Summer Mile at Ascot last year before a good 5th in the Group 1 Sussex Stakes at Goodwood and then went on to win Group 2 Celebration Mile under a penalty again at Goodwood completing an excellent summer. He bombed out twice after in hot Group 1 company, but although ran well on soft before he didn’t look comfortable over it on the straight at Ascot and then at Sha Tin he didn’t respond well in he first time blinkers and was short of room at a crucial time which also didn’t help, so happy to forgive him for them efforts. He runs well after breaks and his best form is when tackling bends rather than straight miles, he has a excellent record, anything below Group 1 company shows 7 wins from 8 and is 3 from 3 in today’s Group 2 company.
4.25 2m Class 4 Handicap – Groveman 4/1
A winner of 2 Class 5’s at Salisbury and Bath for Charlie Hills last season, the last off a mark of 75 over a mile and a half, since ran well off today’s 79 on the AW before changing yards to Jedd O’Keefe for a crack over hurdles, he won on debut and has been consistent since, improving with every run, when last seen was a good 3rd in a class 2 handicap juvenile race off 118, the winner and 6th have both won since boosting the form. The 4yo gelding returns back to the flat looking to take advantage of his low looking 79 mark over 2 miles for the first time. The inform yard who boast 4 winners from 12 runners on turf already this season and 4 places with that to boot, giving a nice 66% win and place strike rate book the services of Jamie Spencer which is not only significant as they never call up on the services of Jamie but he rides Doncaster well with a 19% strike rate the last 5 seasons, a big +£37 level stakes profit.
Russell Blair Racing