4th March betting tips and preview

Leopardstown

2.30 2m 0-109 Handicap Hurdle – Commandant 11/4

This son of Presenting who has been a sire to many greats like Yorkhill, Ballycasey, War of Attrition, First Lieutenant and superstar Denman, so Commandant’s mark of 106 is very exploitable, he’s a big horse that will excel when jumping bigger fences, but for now the improving gelding recorded a pleasing close 3rd LTO in a deeper race, he does go up 3lb for that but there looks plenty more to come and professional jockey Rachel Blackmore takes back over the reigns who was on the gelding for his only career win which will be a big plus.

Southwell

5.00 3m Class 5 Handicap Hurdle – Rodeo Dodo 2/1

Won much easier than bare result explains on his 4th start over hurdles after a long 16 months off the track, it was his first start in a handicap and had the aid of the first time tongue tie,  he was given a mark of 87 which on pedigree looks ridiculous, he only goes up 5lbs for his victory to 92 and the step up to 3 miles is not only perfect on his latest display but pedigree is all for it, plus he produced his best in PTP over 3 miles, he does reappear under 2 weeks since his last run, but he wasn’t ridden at all hard and still should be fairly fresh from his long break. Bridget Andrews takes back over the reigns who is great confident form and has shared 2 other winners the last 2 weeks with trainer Dan Skelton who himself has his string in the usual consistent form and he has a good record when sending them to Southwell.

Wolverhampton

6.15 6f Class 5 Handicap – Steelriver 11/4

Maybe not the best of prices considering how hard it is to get this horse right, but this gelding was once rated 95 and ran some big races in much tougher races especially around Wolvo for today’s trainer Michael Herrington, while still showing ability, he at the same time showed big kinks and a liking for not getting his head in front, he was given opportunities for David Barron and Irish trainer  J F Levins and racked up a huge losing sequence which went back nearly 4 & half years until he recently romped home in a weak class 6 off just 61 over a week ago over this C&D, that was just his 4th run on his return back to Mr Herrington’s yard where he has been running consistently well but again frustratingly close. He’s been raised 7lbs for that victory to 68 which is lenient on past form and if he runs anything like his run LTO he’ll win again comfortably, but as explained, it’s very hard to know if the gelding will be game today.

Brought to you by Russell Blair Racing

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