31st July betting tips and preview


3.00 5f Molecomb Stakes Group 3 – Raahy 20/1

Takes a big step up in grade but was visually one of the most impressive LTO, he broke well and dictated a good quick gallop and then asserted quickly when asked to do so at his first try at 5 furlongs, he looked a true speedster and ready for a step up in class, the form took a healthy boost when the 4 length 2nd X Force winning well NTO. Any more rain will be a big plus, the ground was riding on the softer side of good today and more rain due tonight with a possible thunderstorm which would be a bonus, either way it should be suitable conditions and has a great positive draw next to Maven who like all Wesley Ward runners are pure speed demons and is the most likely pace setter in the race. Trainer George Scott enjoys it at Goodwood with a 23% strike rate the last 5 years and a healthy +£28 level stake profit, he books Harry Bentley for the first time in the horse and is a jockey upswing plus he also has a positive LSP at the course too.


3.55 1m2f Class 5 Handicap – Osmosis 16/1

Rated 75 when moving from Ger Lyons to Jason Ward late last year, she made a promising debut for new connections in April at Beverley looking like further would suit better, although getting her wish with extended trips she still couldn’t find a winning groove but still put in some good efforts which did peter out a little last month but came back to form just last week, interestingly turned out quickly and applied with cheek pieces for the first time which looks like it will have a big positive effect to help keep her concentration, she’s a huge 12lbs now under her mark when moving yards and is further aided by 3lb claimer Conor McGovern who rode her last 3 runs and has a good record at Redcar and good partnership with Jason Ward.


7.10 1m Class 3 Handicap – Rogue 20/1

Another that changed yards late last year, this time from Richard Hannon to Alexandra Dunn, when moving he was rated 93 and won off a mark of 88 earlier in the year, he made his seasonal debut off a mark of 91 in promising fashion when a good 3rd when trying to make all off top weight after a near 200 day break, failing to build on that NTO, he travelled to France and ran 2 good runs over a mile with 2 good places, he returns now off a mark of 85, 3lbs under last winning mark and 9lbs under his highest mark, a huge 14lbs if including claimer Curran Fallon who is well worth his 5lb claim and is in great present form with a 19% strike rate the last 2 weeks (7 winners), he has 2 winners from 8 tries for Alexandra also a further 4 places (75% win and place strike rate), he also has 2 winners at Sandown again from 8 runs, he has a nice draw in 2 but may get in a quick early pace with Muraad which won’t help if he does.

Russell Blair Racing

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